Last week was unreal (Hook Em) but we are on to a new week. Unfortunately, I can confidently say this is the worst CFB slate of the season. Last week and Week One had some really spicy matchups to get us juiced up but this is the final week of a lot of teams having cupcake matchups. Unfortunately, there are no marquee matchups to really cover up the cupcake matchups. However, it is still a full CFB slate to bet on so let’s get into it.

CFB YTD: 23-24 +0.08u

This is going to be a small card of 1u plays for me. I wish I liked more but I’m not going to force it on a weak slate just because last week went great. The goal is just to build up the YTD total a bit more before things really take off next week. Also, the podcast will be back next week in full effect. Cheers.

Friday- 1u Army/UTSA u44- This one is boring but it’s necessary. Army is obviously always a grind team and this UTSA defensive front is really really good. They should be able to limit the Army triple option attack. Frank Harris’ status is majorly in doubt for this game and that would be one of the biggest drop offs for any offense in the country without their starting QB. That would make UTSA a run first team with little explosivness and that would make this game really low scoring.

1u South Carolina +28 @ Georgia- This one is scary but I am buying the Cocks here. They really struggled against UNC on the offensive line, but they also lost their best playmaker and leading tacker to injury. Juice Wells is back full go for this game to go alongside Xavier Legette who currently leads the P5 in receiving yards. It may have been against Furman, but Rattler and the offense looked really sharp last week.

Georgia has literally played NOBODY PAWLLLLL. They have played two massive cupcakes, and while they handled their business, having to play a team with real players might take them some time to adjust to off the jump. I think South Carolina has a chance to pop off a big play or two while Georgia is still in sleep mode and keep themselves within reasonable striking distance in this game. This spot is where Rattler and Co. thrived last year against Tennessee and Clemson so let’s buy them to do it again.

1u Washington -16 @ Sparty- Michigan State is obviously in turmoil with the Mel Tucker situation right now but they also just stink. They don’t have anywhere near the offensive explosiveness to keep up with Penix and Co. who should be up for this game against their future Big 10 rivals.

1u UNLV +4.5 vs. Vandy- Man, going into this season I said Vandy was due for some major negative regression after a fun season last year. That regression is hitting harder than I even imagined and now they are flying across the country to play UNLV the week before SEC plays kick off. This is a bad spot for Vandy and UNLV should be all the way up for this game. Vandy is 0-3 ATS this season and I think they go for 0-4 here.

1u Tennessee -7 @ Florida- This is tough because I actually don’t like this Vawls team at all and have felt vindicated by Joe Milton’s awful start to the year. However, I am way more down on Florida than I am Tennessee. I ultimately could have gotten a much better line here but honestly this Florida love has baffled me. I am NOT betting Graham Mertz in this spot. No. Never. Tennesee won’t look great but they will outlast the Gators.

1u Houston +7.5 vs. TCU- TCU stinks. This is also a PRIME Dana spot. After a big time Week One win over UTSA as short dogs, Houston went out and lost to RICE last week. That sets up perfectly for Dana to return home and beat the defending national runner-ups in this spot.

1u Colorado/CSU o60.5- I said I would stay away from the Buffs this week because I didn’t trust CSU in the fade spot and also don’t want to back Colorado in this spot. However, I think the over is a safer play. CSU should have some success against this Colorado secondary that outside of Travis Hunter is still really bad. Also, Shedeur should do his thing and put up a lot of points. Also, after the trash talk between coaches this week, I expect Prime to try to run up the score late if he has the chance.

1u LSU/Maryland/Arizona/Duke MLP (-123)- I really wanted to lay with LSU but think the backdoor potential is too great. So I added Maryland (FRIDAY GAME) in a UVA fade, Arizona in a UTEP fade, and Duke in a NW fade. Those are three big favorites I feel great about to pair with LSU and get a fun MLP for the weekend.

I’m also betting a RR MLP of Iowa State, New Mexico, JMU, and Houston. Let’s hit that to really make it a fun weekend.

That’s it for this week! Let’s have a big day and get ready for great action next week.