THE GAME OF THE YEAR HAS ARRIVED!
My Washington Huskies are taking on Bo Nix and the Oregon Ducks. I have waited a year and a half for this moment to have my Huskies on the national stage so hopefully my fairy tale comes true. I did a great episode previewing this week with Liam Blutman from No Context CFB so make sure to go check that out here.
Here are my notes from the podcast and full betting card at the bottom:
Friday Night- Tulane (-3.5) @ Memphis o/u 65.5
- What to watch for (player/storyline/matchup): The only 4-1 teams in the AAC. Both of their losses are against SEC teams in close games. I am a Seth Henigan believer.
- Straight-up winner: Memphis
- Favorite bet (if you have one): Memphis +3.5
UCLA @ Oregon State (-4) o/u 53.5
- What to watch for (player/storyline/matchup): Dante Moore is awesome but he needs to stop throwing bad INTs. That kept Wazzou in the game last week when UCLA was by far the better team.
- Straight-up winner: Oregon State
- Favorite bet (if you have one): u53.5- Oregon State should go run heavy to control the game.
Miami @ UNC (-3.5) o/u 55.5
- What to watch for (player/storyline/matchup): How does Miami respond after last week?
- Straight-up winner: UNC
- Favorite bet (if you have one): Not betting on this game but if I did it would be the over
USC @ Notre Dame (-2.5) o/u 60.5
- What to watch for (player/storyline/matchup): Can Sam Hartman exploit the USC defense how others have? The Notre Dame has been stagnant the last couple of weeks
- Straight-up winner: USC
- Favorite bet (if you have one): USC +2.5
Oregon @ Washington (-2.5) o/u 67.5
- What to watch for (player/storyline/matchup): Road Bo Nix. Can he stay mistake-free to keep up with Penix and Washington?
- Straight-up winner: Washington
- Favorite bet (if you have one): Washington -2.5 and the over
Favorite bet of the weekend: Washington -2.5. It will be a shootout so I am taking the better offense at home.
Underdog moneyline pick of the weekend: USC>Notre Dame. +118 I do think the USC defense is fraudulent and will get exposed against Washington and Oregon and UCLA but what we have seen from the Notre Dame offense the last few weeks I don’t have confidence they will keep up with Caleb. BYU over TCU. TCU has lost back-to-back games as favorites to Iowa State and WVU. No Chandler Morris for TCU. BYU is playing well, coming off a bye, and has already pulled an upset over Arkansas on the road this year. +175
Full betting card:
All 1u bets unless specified
Friday night- Stanford +11.5 @ Colorado- Fade the Buffs.
Friday night- Memphis +4.5 vs. Tulane- Henigan at home.
GA Southern +3.5 @ JMU- this line has flown in the other direction but I think GATA can win outright with their passing attack.
Indiana +33.5 @ Michigan- There is no reason other than loving pain.
1.5u Washington/Alabama/Ohio State MLP- To spare us from some weird 1 or 2 point win voodoo I am parlaying Washington with two huge favorites that I am comfortable with.
South Florida ML (-130) vs. FAU- Byrum Brown is the man.
o66.5 Oregon/Washington
2u Washington -3
South Carolina ML (-130) vs. Florida- Gamecocks passing attack should have success and road Graham Mertz is gross.
Texas A&M +3.5 @ Tennessee- Tough bounce back spot for TAMU but I still think they are just a much better team
BYU +6 @ TCU- explained above
Illinois +14 @ Maryland- bad spot for Maryland, Illinois defense is tough.
Pitt +7.5 vs. Louisville- Home Narduzzi, Jurko TE, Cards fraud.
TTU ML (-115) vs. Kansas State- Riding the Red Raiders
USC +3 @ Notre Dame- 3 finally popped. Caleb will be too much for exhausted Irish.
0.5u- UCLA/Oregon State u54.5- discussed on the pod
Thanks for reading and make sure to give the podcast a view on YouTube even if you don’t have time to watch this week! Cheers!
