Make sure to check out the podcast if you haven’t already.

Here is a quick run-through of the podcast for those who don’t have a chance to listen + my full card for this week.

CFB YTD: 60-60-4 -2.08u

There is no question the YTD number is disappointing at this point in the season. Things have broken against us a few times but that is no excuse in this college football world. Crazy things will always happen and you just have to press on. After placing 124 bets being dead even isn’t the worst thing in the world but we need to get hot and this seems like the perfect week to do it. Let’s have one.

Midseason Awards

Heisman: Michael Penix Jr. He is now the heavy favorite. I have the 14-1 ticket. That comeback drive against Oregon was a Heisman moment and he will have at least one more shot at a real Heisman moment at USC against the current Heisman winner.

Surprise Team: Oklahoma and UNC. Oklahoma obviously had the upset over Texas and has also handled business against everyone so far. They have a clear path to an undefeated regular season and then their rematch with Texas will be a playoff play-in game. UNC has home against Duke and @ Clemson left and if they win those they should be undefeated potentially playing an undefeated FSU for a college football playoff spot.

Disappointing Team: LSU- preseason #5. They were my natty pick. Their offense and Jayden Daniels are ridiculous but they have literally one of the worst defenses in college football. Total disaster. They also somehow have a chance to win the SEC still if they beat Bama and win out from there. USC- this one I did call but still, this was their year with Caleb and they did not improve on defense at all and the offense is worse than last year. Lost to Notre Dame and still have Utah, UCLA, Oregon, and Washington on the schedule.

Four playoff teams (not if they started now, but picks for who you think the four playoff teams will be at the end of the season): Georgia- I think they hang on and would beat Bama in the SEC Championship Game. Texas- I think they beat Oklahoma in the rematch and their win over Bama pushes them over some other potential conference winners. Michigan- I think Michigan definitely beats Ohio State and probably Penn State too. Washington- I think their path is clear and they could even drop 1 conference game and as long as they win the championship game (probably against Oregon) they are in. I think there will be a disaster in the ACC. Clemson beats UNC and then UNC beats FSU or Clemson gets to the championship game and beats FSU or FSU loses to Florida/Miami someone and they get left out with a 1 or 2 loss conference champ.

National Championship prediction: 1. Michigan 2. Georgia 3. Washington 4. Texas I think we see two upsets. Washington>Texas.

Week 8 Big Games (from the podcast)

Ohio State (-4.5) vs. Penn State o/u 46.5

  • This is the year for Penn State. I still am not bought in on Kyle McCord and this offense, Penn State has the defense and particularly the secondary to totally stuff these guys. Drew Allar will have to make a couple of big plays but I feel like Penn State has a lot up their sleeve because they really just haven’t been challenged yet this year.

Alabama (-8.5) vs. Tennessee o/u 49.5

  • I love Bama in a MLP. I would lay if I had to pick. Things are really starting to click with Milroe and he should be able to hit the deep ball consistently over the top. Joe Milton should really struggle in this environment against a Bama defense that has turned it on lately. Texas is the only team to score more than 21 against Bama this year.

Florida State (-14) vs. Duke o/u 49

Duke +14. FSU has been on cruise control since that Clemson game and this will be a wake-up call for them. All of this is assuming Riley Leonard is back which is still up in the air but there seems to be some optimism. Their ACC chances are still alive if they win this game so it’s now or never for Leonard. They turn into a rush-heavy team with a whole different style without Leonard so FSU has to prepare for two totally different schemes which hurts their D.

USC (-7) vs. Utah o/u 56

I do think USC bounces back at home. It seems like Cam Rising is not coming back and could potentially redshirt this year to come back for one more run next year as this season looks lost, especially in a loaded Pac-12. Utah’s defense is not the same on the road as at home. Caleb and Lincoln will be pissed and want to score on every possession. Utah’s offense doesn’t have the firepower to keep up.

Full Card

All 1u unless specified

Friday night- 0.5u SMU -20.5

Navy +11

Arkansas -5.5

UCF +19

1.5u Penn State +4.5

Memphis/App State MLP (-106)

SC/Mizzou o58.5

Minnesota +4

0.5u Northwestern +12

1.5u USC/UNC/Bama MLP

Hawaii ML (-111)

Duke +14

2u Clemson -3

Arizona State +28.5

0.5u Stanford/UCLA o53.5

Let’s ride!